NH-PPP: Hodes, Shea-Porter (D) in a tight race with Sununu, Bass (R)

[TheresNoMoney]

I am skeptical that Sununu will choose to run again. I think he will stay out of office for awhile and make money lobbying instead. I also think Bass is more likely to run for Governor than Senator.

I really hope that Hodes and Shea-Porter don;t go against each other in the primary, I think they're both great and would have a hard time deciding. And Shea-Porter is absolutely the most progressive congressman who could ever get elected in NH-01 (a moderate district). I hope Shea-Porter stays in Congress for a long, long time.

[TheresNoMoney]

Even though the GOP has been losing ground they have s surpisingly large bench especially in the 1st district.

They do? The GOP bench in NH is very thin. The only up-and-coming Republican in the state is probably Frank Guinta (mayor of Manchester). And he is really only moderately popular, he might even be defeated in the 2009 election.

Truth is that neither party has a very strong bench in this state, since Governor and Senator are the only two statewide elected offices in NH.

[TheresNoMoney]

Now Gregg has withdrawn from Commerce and is presumably running for reelection.

I wouldn't assume something like that. If I were a betting man, I would say that Gregg has at least a 50% chance of retiring in 2010.

[TheresNoMoney]

I was right! Gregg WILL NOT run in 2010:

http://www.unionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Judd+Gregg+withdraws+as+nominee+for+Commerce+Secretary%2c+says+he+won%27t+run+in+2010&articleId=9c31f9b4-6117-4312-8eb0-647e1240e70a

Best of both worlds, we get a Democrat for Commerce Secretary and Gregg retires!