MO Senate: Talent, McCaskill tied in new Rasmussen Poll (user search)
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  MO Senate: Talent, McCaskill tied in new Rasmussen Poll (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO Senate: Talent, McCaskill tied in new Rasmussen Poll  (Read 5001 times)
TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« on: September 06, 2005, 10:01:26 AM »
This will be a top-tier race. Republican-leaning pollster Rasmussen has the two candidates tied at 46% in a new poll of 500 likely voters:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2005/Missouri%20Senate.htm
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2005, 10:23:44 AM »
« Edited: September 06, 2005, 10:30:25 AM by Scoonie »
Quote from: nickshepDEM on September 06, 2005, 10:19:14 AM
Its gonna' come down to money.  Talent will outspend McCaskill somewhere in the range of 2 to 1 or posibly even 3 to 1.

No way. McCaskill will raise a good deal of money and the DSCC and DNC will chip in a lot.

She wouldn't have entered the race if she had worries about money. The Republicans have more endangered incumbents than the Democrats do and will have to spread their money around to more candidates.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2005, 10:25:03 AM »
Quote from: Supersoulty on September 06, 2005, 10:19:41 AM
Considering all of the disease there is, currently, with Republican leadership all around the country, these numbers are pretty damn good.

Not for an incumbent in a Republican state. McCaskill hasn't even started campaigning yet.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2005, 12:03:32 PM »
« Edited: September 06, 2005, 12:10:36 PM by Scoonie »
Quote from: MissCatholic on September 06, 2005, 11:40:46 AM
Coors was a terrible candidate. Talent will be fine as long as he avoids any scandal and gets some decent cash in. The dems will struggle to get above 46%

Naw, Talent only got 49.8% in 2002 against a weaker opponent than McCaskill.  if I was a betting man, I'd put money on her to squeek this one out.

Also, Bush and Governor Blunt's approval ratings in Missouri are horrendous. This certainly won't help Talent.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2005, 06:54:24 PM »
I hope the GOP doesn't focus on this race.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2005, 07:05:16 PM »
« Edited: September 06, 2005, 07:21:59 PM by Scoonie »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on September 06, 2005, 06:58:23 PM
You can't give me one good reason why Talent is vulnerable.

Bush approval rating: 38%-58%
Blunt approval rating: 35%-60%
Talent approval rating: 48%-39%

Latest Poll: 46-46

Statewide backlash against Republicans. Talent votes with BushCo nearly 100% of the time. Talent didn't prevent closing of St. Louis military base in MO. There are only so many single issue anti-choice voters out there. You can't win elections just from the anti-choice vote. Gay marriage was already banned in 2004, so that won't be an issue. McCaskill is on the correct side of the stem cell debate as well. Opposition to social security phaseout (which Talent supports). Worsening economic conditions in Missouri.

If that is not vulnerability, then I don't know what it.

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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« Reply #6 on: September 06, 2005, 07:29:24 PM »
Buyers remorse in choosing Blunt over McCaskill in last year's gubernatorial race.

Oppostion to Social Security phaseout.  Support of emybronic stem cell research. Dissatisfaction with the country's direction in general, of which Talent is closely linked to the president and administration. Economic worries about the future.

Plus the fact that Claire is well known and well-liked in the state.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« Reply #7 on: September 08, 2005, 02:46:39 PM »
If they are already tied in a Republican-leaning poll with 14 months to go until the election, it is ludicrous to think that she can't win.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« Reply #8 on: September 08, 2005, 06:35:05 PM »
Chill out, Alcon.

OK, a non-partisan poll. Happy now??
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,907


Political Matrix
E: -3.25, S: -2.72
« Reply #9 on: September 11, 2005, 10:44:12 PM »
What's a prole? I've never heard that term before.
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