2004 is going to have 4-5% growth, and 2005-2008 will have at least 3.5% and above. Its all just part of the normal economic cycle in our highly productive capitalist economy. As for Job Growth that happens late in the cycle, just like it did in the 1990's (only more so due to productivity growth) - the unemployment rate will not change much in 04,05, and 06, but will get very low in 07 and 08.
If Bush is elected its all on track, if Kerry is elected only one thing could mess it up - if he manages to increase taxes. I suspect he could by vetoing a Republican attempt to make the Bush Tax Cuts permanent. But even if he does such a horrible thing, 2004-2008 are still good growth years, possibly just a little less than under Bush.
Old Opebo...
