2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2

[Doimper]

PPP has more numbers in Senate races.

-Sinema up 5 over McSally.
-Casey up 18 over Barletta lol
-Baldwin up 12 over Nicholson
-Rosen up 5 over Heller
-Bredesen up 5 over Blackum.

https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/PPP-Battleground-Health-Care-Memo.pdf

Dominating!

[Doimper]

Going all in on Randy Bryce:

https://twitter.com/aseitzwald/status/976849960909131776

I wonder what their polling is showing

[Doimper]

Remember Dino Rossi? Yeah apparently he might not of been the great recruit reps hoped https://mobile.twitter.com/hellofasandwich/status/973059444199211009

rip greedo

[Doimper]

Can we not add another wife-beater to Congress, thanks.

[Doimper]

"Just possibly maybe 10 more quitting....no big deal"

https://www.twitter.com/kailanikm/status/984185575854039040

lmao

What a time to be alive

[Doimper]

This is an R+8 district. Is McCready an especially strong candidate, or is he just the unwitting beneficiary of #resistance money?

[Doimper]

Fundrasing for KS-02 has come out and holy sh*t:
Paul Davis (D): 338,000
Caryn Tyson (R): 41,000
Steve Watkins (R): 40,000
Steve Firzgerald (R): 25,000
Kevin Jones (R): 6,000

Amazing

[Doimper]

Wow more fundarsing this time on OH-01:
Aftab Pureval (D): 663,000
Steve Chabot (R-inc): 172,000

!!!

[Doimper]

Not sure how you guys missed Heather Ross, but she's the Democrat who's raised the most money by far in AZ-06.

Heather Ross (D) - $229,336
Garrick McFadden (D) - $68,814
Anita Malik (D) - $64,139

She seems highly qualified, and is another healthcare practicioner like Tipirneni. Ross is also running on a very "issues-oriented" campaign (she doesn't mention being a Democrat or Trump even once in her campaign website). Aside from her outdated campaign website, I don't have any complaints about her.

https://www.heatherforaz.com/

I thought you left Atlas?

A lot of people have """left""" Atlas.

[Doimper]

New Crystal Ball ratings:



Thoughts?

[Doimper]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Wow.

Hmm. Interesting.

[Doimper]

Ya barring #metoo style scandals Stewart is done. I agree it is unlikely to be by 20, however - Stewart should be able to get the base out and with his bizarre support in PWC he should hit 41-42%. Kaine by 12-15 is probably the final result.

Even with metoo scenarios, I think Kaine would edge out 49-48.

even with a vague, unspecified scandal, I think my preferred candidate would win by a margin that I have pulled out of my ass

[Doimper]

Did you all know Richard Ojeda voted for Trump? 

http://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/392945-dem-house-candidate-in-west-virginia-voted-for-trump

Clearly a massive liability in West Virginia.

[Doimper]

Did you all know Richard Ojeda voted for Drumpf? 

http://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/392945-dem-house-candidate-in-west-virginia-voted-for-trump

We're the big tent party. We can accept differences if it furthers our interests. We aren't a cult.

Are you using the drumpfinator chrome extension?

As if that joke needed to be beaten to death even more than it already has.

[Doimper]

TX-31:



https://twitter.com/TexasTribAbby/status/1016371847036899328

R+10 district. Good luck to her.

[Doimper]

https://twitter.com/meganmesserly/status/1016390353979523072?s=19

Shame that it's all going to be wasted on UTDH.

[Doimper]

https://twitter.com/Emma_Dumain/status/1016799529209925634

[Doimper]

https://twitter.com/evanasmith/status/1017216114135314432

Democrats in disarray.

[Doimper]

And here we go https://blogs.mprnews.org/capitol-view/2018/07/gops-paulsen-paddles-away-from-trump-in-1st-ad/

In Minnesota? But muh blue-collar billionaire

[Doimper]

https://twitter.com/ActorAaronBooth/status/1018713899624001537

Most disgusting quarterly report to ever be filed.

What the hell?

[Doimper]

RIP Virginia Republican Party

https://twitter.com/andrewcainrtd/status/1018978940751351810?s=21

Amazing

[Doimper]

https://twitter.com/courtneytritch/status/1018983615089131520?s=21

Someone explain this one to me.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

uh

[Doimper]

Growing increasingly convinced that the Austin gerrymander is going to crack - or even implode entirely.

[Doimper]

Rating changes on Sabato:

AR-02 (Hill): Likely R > Lean R
FL-13 (Crist): Likely D > Safe D
FL-16 (Buchanan): Likely R > Lean R
IA-03 (Young): Lean R > Tossup
IA-04 (King): Safe R > Likely R
IL-06 (Roskam): Lean R > Tossup
IN-02 (Walorski): Safe R > Likely R
IN-09 (Hollingsworth): Safe R > Likely R
KY-06 (Barr): Lean R > Tossup
MI-08 (Bishop): Lean R > Tossup
NM-02 (Open): Likely R > Lean R
OH-01 (Chabot): Lean R > Tossup
OH-12 Special: Lean R > Tossup
PA-16 (Kelly): Safe R > Likely R
TX-07 (Culberson): Lean R > Tossup
TX-31 (Carter): Safe R > Likely R
WV-03 (Open): Lean R > Tossup

There are now 34 Republican held tossups and 2 Democratic held tossups. GOP is favoured in 200 seats and the Dems are favoured in 199.

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-house-tilts-toward-the-democrats/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Crystal_Ball+%28Larry+J.+Sabato%27s+Crystal+Ball%29

It's happening?

[Doimper]

An in perfect timing to the ActBlue story the RNC has sent out a memo telling candidates to not accept Koch money or help https://www.politico.com/story/2018/08/02/rnc-warns-donors-kochs-760233

Horrible news for Kochaine Mitch.