latest Betfair odds

[Doimper]

If trump loses WI bigly and gets 0 delegates, gets less than 50% in NY, loses Pa to kasich, loses MD to kasich, loses CT to kasich......would he drop below 40?

That's the absolute worst-case scenario for him, so yeah.

[Doimper]

Can someone remind me why Torie's avatar is red?

Local reasons, but I really consider myself more or less a true independent now. The GOP is in a bad place in general right now - a very bad place. The Dems are not any better. I like Ryan because he's smart, principled, issue focused, genial, works well with others, and relatively reasonable and pragmatic. That makes him sadly rather unusual in the Pub party these days, among those with much profile at least.

The idea that the Democrats are anywhere near as dysfunctional as the Republicans are right now is insane

[Doimper]

So there's roughly a 14% chance that Cruz gets the nomination but only an 11% chance that Fiorina gets the VP nod, despite the fact that Cruz has already publically selected Fiorina........OK.

Technically, the delegates decide the VP. And since Cruz's only chance at the nomination is a contested convention, who knows who they'll nominate as VP.

Yeah, but Cruz has got the delegates wrapped around his little finger.