Sabato: How Midterms Do (and Do Not) Differ From Presidential Elections (user search)
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  Sabato: How Midterms Do (and Do Not) Differ From Presidential Elections (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sabato: How Midterms Do (and Do Not) Differ From Presidential Elections  (Read 3564 times)
Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself
omegascarlet
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,104


« on: March 12, 2017, 03:31:16 AM »

I would rate MT, CO, NC, Iowa and GA as possible pickups for the Dems in 2020.

I'd add AK and a long-shot in WV.
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Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself
omegascarlet
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,104


« Reply #1 on: March 12, 2017, 04:01:28 PM »

And yet this site thinks 2018 will exactly mirror 2014 and 2010 for the GOP.

have you looked at the Senate map.

Ever stop to think why those seats are in Democrat hands. Democrats won them in a good year, 2012, and it's hard to see them losing them in a better year, 2018?

There are doubts it will be better then 2012 though...

Yeah, you'd think people would be a tad less overconfident after what happened in 2014 and 2016. Not saying 2018 can't be a good year for Democrats, but even better than the landslide they had in 2012? Highly unlikely, especially with the attitude the party has towards voters in rural areas and Republican voters in general.

2012 was less a wave and more a decent year politically where the democrats performed well, had good candidates, got some lucky bad candidates(partially helped by some ratf***ing), etc
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