Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) (user search)
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  Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Ides of March Tuesday results thread (N. Marianas start at 4:30am ET)  (Read 59341 times)
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #25 on: March 15, 2016, 08:11:39 PM »

Why is Missouri so slow?
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #26 on: March 15, 2016, 08:19:38 PM »

Ha! Trump supporter at the Kasich rally!
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #27 on: March 15, 2016, 08:25:45 PM »

Kasich is leading with all three delegates in CD 7 with 46% in (Chicago Loop dominates the GOP vote here).

Kasich is leading one delegate in CD 9 with 47% in and has another delegate in fourth a close race for third place (north and northwest Cook suburbs primarily).

Trump may end up sweeping in IL despite the congressional district rules.


Wonder how strongly Cruz runs downstate...that may detract a bit from The Don.

If he sweeps in IL, that may make up for the loss of delegates in OH, would it not?
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #28 on: March 15, 2016, 08:44:33 PM »

How long until we get a call in IL?
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #29 on: March 15, 2016, 08:48:30 PM »

CNN - Trump wins Illinois
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #30 on: March 15, 2016, 08:55:05 PM »

Donald Trump wins NC - CNN
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #31 on: March 15, 2016, 08:55:51 PM »

Calling NC is dumb, the top four counties with the highest population are still out.

I think it's a little early myself, but I guess they're either living dangerously or know more than we do.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #32 on: March 15, 2016, 08:58:22 PM »

According to CNN's delegate estimate - Donald Trump is halfway to 1237 at 613 before Illinois is finished tallying and before Missouri is even called.  There are still plenty of contests left including several big ones.  1237 is definitely still doable for Trump.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #33 on: March 15, 2016, 09:15:52 PM »

I checked Pennsylvania for Kasich and if he plans to camp out there, he has basically given up.  It doesn't vote until April 26, I think and it only has 17 delegates according to CNN unless that's a typo.  He really needs to compete in every state the rest of the way, I think not just one insignificant state a month.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #34 on: March 15, 2016, 09:28:27 PM »

Cruz better not win Missouri...
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #35 on: March 15, 2016, 09:32:44 PM »

I would love nothing more than for Trump to be able to spend the next 6-7 months hammering Hillary Clinton on everything under the sun.  Lord knows she's got an entire fleet of big rigs of baggage that he can exploit.  No doubt she will spend the next 6-7 months hitting Trump.  I bet Trump doesn't even acknowledge Kasich and spends very little time to Cruz.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #36 on: March 15, 2016, 09:42:11 PM »

Remember, with only 3 in the race, it will be easier for Trump to get the 50% threshold in the states that are WTA at that point.  It's like a poker game when one player goes bankrupt - the antes and pots go up.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #37 on: March 15, 2016, 09:44:26 PM »

Huge dump in SW Missouri - Cruz takes a narrow lead with 77% in.  41.7 to 41.6.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #38 on: March 15, 2016, 09:48:30 PM »

Trump is back on top.  41.8-41.6 with 82%.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #39 on: March 15, 2016, 09:50:12 PM »

It looks like it will be a virtual tie down to the finish between Trump and Cruz in Missouri.  What is the winner delegate advantage in MO?
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #40 on: March 15, 2016, 09:52:36 PM »

Trump supporter at the Cruz rally?
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #41 on: March 15, 2016, 09:54:19 PM »

Someone at Cruz' rally just shouting THROW DONALD TRUMP IN JAIL

Oh, that's what it was.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #42 on: March 15, 2016, 10:06:15 PM »

It is so obvious that 90% of the people in this thread are trollish trump fans.

What's wrong with being a Trump fan?
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #43 on: March 15, 2016, 10:10:42 PM »

It is so obvious that 90% of the people in this thread are trollish trump fans.

What's wrong with being a Trump fan?

I guess I'm just bitter that you guys are completely changing a party that I identify with.

I'm only supporting Trump because he's looking like the inevitable nominee and I don't want a liberal Supreme Court.  I voted for Ted Cruz and would prefer it if he were the nominee, but I feel it necessary for the party to hold their nose and coalesce behind the nominee now or soon to prevent 4 more years of the same liberal policies or worse.  That's the only reason I'm supporting Trump.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #44 on: March 15, 2016, 10:20:58 PM »

St Louis is starting to come in and Trump is maintaining his lead.  I think we may be getting closer to a narrow call for Trump.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #45 on: March 15, 2016, 10:29:38 PM »

St Louis is starting to come in and Trump is maintaining his lead.  I think we may be getting closer to a narrow call for Trump.

If the pattern from other southern states (and Kansas City) is followed, late precincts should be better for Cruz than earlier ones, though I'll concede it doesn't look too good.

First off, Missouri is not southern, but the only things out now are about 55% of St Louis City, all of Perry County, and a little bit of Jackson County (Kansas City).  Trump has a 3,000 vote lead, so I think his lead, while not safe, is looking better and better.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #46 on: March 15, 2016, 10:44:21 PM »

Trump's lead is down to 2,450 votes.  Still nothing new from St Louis, but Perry County is all in and basically split between Trump and Cruz.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #47 on: March 15, 2016, 11:01:58 PM »

Cruz has maxed out Boone County and still trails by 2,667 votes.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #48 on: March 15, 2016, 11:04:44 PM »

What's stalling St Louis?
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #49 on: March 15, 2016, 11:11:24 PM »

Where did that dump for Cruz come from?  He's now only 2,100 votes behind.
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