Default State Leaning for 2008 (user search)
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Author Topic: Default State Leaning for 2008  (Read 3004 times)
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« on: May 01, 2005, 07:53:44 PM »
« edited: May 01, 2005, 07:55:17 PM by BushOklahoma »

Here's what I think 2008 will be like:


Kerry/Warner vs. Brownback/Bunning (Bunning will be a filler so Brownback could appoint a more conservative Vice President that the people would not elect if he would be elected)

This map is how I see it.  I would've posted a map, but i still don't know how, even after 99 posts.

The only change I would make is move New Hampshire to the Democratic toss-up color.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #1 on: May 02, 2005, 05:39:56 PM »

I really think just about every state is in play for 2008. The Democrats could win South Carolina, the Republicans could win Vermont.

Maybe in some fantasy world.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2005, 03:26:50 PM »



Yes tings change, but the overall trend didn't change all that much (from the National Average) between 88 & 92.  What changed was a solid Republican win to a solid Dem win, however their wasn;t that big of change from the Natl average

Exactly. Given the same swing from Republicans to Democrats from '88 to '92, '08 could turn out something like this:



All of those Democratic pickups would be a stretch, but I can see your point.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2005, 03:32:23 PM »

These are my thoughts on 2008 right now.



Rep: 274
Dem: 264

Democrats pick up Iowa and New Mexico
Republicans pick up nothing and don't have as big of a win in Oklahoma, but still a win nonetheless.
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