The Southwest United States in November

[Joe Biden 2020]

We are a little over 3 weeks from the Nevada Caucuses on Saturday, February 4, 2012

The Caucuses will probably go for Romney considering the high Mormon influence in the state, and plus he should have plenty of momentum should he win South Carolina and Florida.

The question is how will Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico vote in November in a matchup of Romney vs. Obama?  Also, with the same matchup will Arizona be a safe Republican state, or will it be in play?  I believe, according to our friend jamespol who now lives in Utah most of the year and knows Arizona quite well, that Phoenix has a pretty high concentration of Mormons as well.

[Joe Biden 2020]

So, pretty much it confirms the Southwestern United States are drifting more and more into the Democratic camp with New Mexico now a strong Democratic state, Colorado getting that way,  Arizona starting to move into toss up category, and Nevada in toss-up/lean D territory.  The only guaranteed Republican strongholds in the Southwest are Utah, Texas, and Oklahoma (if you consider the latter two in the Southwest).