Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Louisiana

[White Trash]

Louisiana ain't flipping. Not even a '64-esque blowout would be enough. Louisiana will be one of Trump's better states, he'll get between 57-61. It's quite possible that Clinton could use Edward's popularity to get it down a few points, but there'd be no reason to do that.

[White Trash]

Lean R

Trump 52%
Clinton 46%
Others 2%

Louisiana went for Clinton 52-40 in 1996.  What has changed since then is that the Cajun Catholics have swung to the GOP; prior to that, they had become the key swing voter group at the Presidential level and the folks that kept local politics in Louisiana Democratic.

I predict something of a comeback for Hillary amongst the Cajun Catholics.  Not enough to win, but enough to improve.

I don't really see a reason for a comeback. Much of cajun country is rural, not very high income or education levels, and pretty socially conservative.

Edwards made good inroads with Cajun country, doing decently well on the coast and in the Lafayette area. Clinton might do marginally better than Obama with us coonasses, but it won't be enough to really make a difference.