Sam Wang doubles down on the PEC model (user search)
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  Sam Wang doubles down on the PEC model (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sam Wang doubles down on the PEC model  (Read 1587 times)
win win
dxu8888
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Posts: 855
« on: November 07, 2016, 06:45:22 PM »
Cmon, a 99% chance?
We've had a miss of 9% in one of the past 20 elections (Dewey vs Truman).
To say a 4% lead has a 99% chance of holding is just silly.
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win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
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Posts: 855
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2016, 08:03:46 PM »
Quote from: mark_twain on November 07, 2016, 07:50:18 PM
Quote from: вставай, страна огромная! on November 07, 2016, 06:55:46 PM
Quote from: RalstonSucks on November 07, 2016, 06:45:22 PM
Cmon, a 99% chance?
We've had a miss of 9% in one of the past 20 elections (Dewey vs Truman).
To say a 4% lead has a 99% chance of holding is just silly.
hate to break it to ya, but things have changed since 1948


Hate to break it to you, Bush had a 4 point lead on Gore in November 2000 and lost the popular vote.
That's a 4% miss right there, just 4 elections ago.
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