He'll squeak it out by 2-4% after signing the heartbeat bill.
May be. But, after reading criticism of him for this on DKE and other sites i will ask: what other choices he had? Louisiana is very conservative on choice, majority of Democratic caucus (including many Black legislators) regularily gets 80-100 ratings from Louisiana Right to life, and so on... Literally only about 10% of lousiana legislature, and about 1/3 of Democratic caucus may be called even a "moderate" on this issue.
It might even help him.
He gets to go around and say, "See! I am not your typical Democrat" and take the abortion issue off the table.