Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)

[Chief Justice Keef]

I'm hoping Wendy Carrillo wins after Carmona's proven to be a piece of s--t, but it's probably going to Gomez.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Being optimistic for the final result:

Estes (R) - 54%
Thompson (D) - 43%
Rockhold (L) - 3%

A closer loss for Thompson would probably set him up for some other kind of office, and of course scare the crap out of Republicans.

[Chief Justice Keef]

lmao if a Republican internal only has Estes up 1 point...

[Chief Justice Keef]

IMO it's pretty obvious that this is the same, old trick.

I guess there's the possibility Republicans are trying to play it up so a single-digit win for Estes doesn't look bad, but never doubt the incompetency of Kansas Republicans.

[Chief Justice Keef]

So far Thompson leading

Brownback sweating like a dog

Link?!

There isn't any results, he's lying.
http://www.sos.ks.gov/ent/kssos_ent.html

Fake news?

[Chief Justice Keef]

First (tiny) results show Thompson leading by a wide margin:

[Chief Justice Keef]

These are early ballots, by the way.

[Chief Justice Keef]

lmao

[Chief Justice Keef]

Butler County reporting, 54-43 Estes
https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/851952864775876613

[Chief Justice Keef]

How many votes should we be expecting total in this race? This is likely early vote and not a precinct; there are 25,000 votes counted already. This could be a quarter or more of the turnout in already, so I don't think we should discard these prelims as a heavily Democratic precinct or whatever.

If it means anything, 275,000 votes were cast here in 2016...

[Chief Justice Keef]

Hey Democrats, here's a sign you don't need to be a Blue Dog to win in rural districts.

[Chief Justice Keef]

In hindsight, now that Thompson might actually have a real shot at this...

[Chief Justice Keef]

What if Ds end up winning KS-04 and MT-AL but lose GA-06 what message would that send to the DCCC?

Races like these matter just as much.

[Chief Justice Keef]

If Thompson wins here, which is beginning to look more likely with each passing minute, it'll also show the strength of grassroots like Our Revolution. The DCCC didn't enter into this race until the twilight hour.

[Chief Justice Keef]

I guess there's something glorious about the fact that a Berniecrat might win in the literal home of Koch Industries.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Pawnee: 71% Estes, 74% Trump. Not encouraging for Thompson.

That's not where the votes are, though.

Pawnee is fully in, 71-29 Estes. It was 72-22 Trump in 2016.

Guess Leslie Knope couldn't deliver it for Thompson. Shame.

Doesn't she live in Indiana?

Pawnee's the name of the town in Parks and Rec.

[Chief Justice Keef]

If Thompson wins, he'll be the most vulnerable House Democrat in 2018..so he shouldn't be too comfortable. Estes is a bad candidate. Estes may run for KS governor in 2018, if he loses, but if he wins this congressional seat, he could face a primary challenge.

If Estes can't win a Safe R congressional seat, he's not gonna run for governor.

[Chief Justice Keef]

It's starting to come down to the wire now.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Cowley results trickling in, Estes winning 54-44 there. Trump won it 66-28 in 2016.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Harvey results coming in, Thompson 55-43. Trump won there 58-34.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Enten said Thompson needs to win Sedgewick by around 9 to have a chance at pulling this off.

What's it at now?

59-39, Thompson.

[Chief Justice Keef]

It's quickly turning into a nail-biter, but the fact we're even describing it as one should be seen as an accomplishment for Thompson.

[Chief Justice Keef]

Edwards finished tallying. Estes wins there 78-21.

[Chief Justice Keef]

This could've been less of a nail-biter if the DNC actually funded money for Thompson's campaign.

I guarantee you even if Thompson loses by a razor-thin margin they'll say "well, looks like populism failed here."

[Chief Justice Keef]

Yeah, the votes are still outstanding in Sedgwick. If Thompson keeps a good enough lead there he'll win.