Thoughts on the final Trend map? (user search)
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  Thoughts on the final Trend map? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Thoughts on the final Trend map?  (Read 1921 times)
dax00
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Posts: 1,422


« on: December 08, 2016, 12:08:59 AM »
« edited: December 08, 2016, 12:10:54 AM by mesdames et messieurs »

a map without the two-party bias. 0-2% trend = 30% shade; 2-5% trend = 50% shade; 5-10% trend = 70% shade; 10%+ trend = 90% shade
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dax00
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,422


« Reply #1 on: December 08, 2016, 11:58:41 PM »
« Edited: December 09, 2016, 12:03:41 AM by mesdames et messieurs »

a map without the two-party bias. 0-2% trend = 30% shade; 2-5% trend = 50% shade; 5-10% trend = 70% shade; 10%+ trend = 90% shade


Please explain the criteria for this map.
whichever party gained the most percentage points from their total in 2012 in each state. i defined the % trend as the margin between first and second place with respect to that.

for example, in wisconsin, the republicans went from 45.89% in 2012 to 47.19% in 2016, for a gain of 1.3%. gary johnson went from 0.67% in 2012 to 3.58% in 2016, for a gain of 2.91%. in my map, the trend in wisconsin was considered 2.91%-1.3%=1.61% for the libertarians

what the map really shows is that trump didn't so much win more states than romney as did clinton lose them, and the abundance of yellow states really emphasizes the disfavorability of the two major candidates

all the yellow states are johnson/weld and the green states are mcmullin
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