Will TRUMP get the required 1,237 delegates before the convention? (user search)
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  Will TRUMP get the required 1,237 delegates before the convention? (search mode)
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#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Total Voters: 98

Author Topic: Will TRUMP get the required 1,237 delegates before the convention?  (Read 4294 times)
dax00
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« on: April 17, 2016, 10:09:53 PM »

If Trump lets it be known which of his delegates exactly he wants voters to vote for, he can still get 31/34 in WV. And he's such a heavy favorite in WV, it would take more extreme campaign incompetence not to get the word out.

I expect him to fall 30 short on pledged delegates and make it up mainly with the unpledged from PA.

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dax00
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Posts: 1,422


« Reply #1 on: April 17, 2016, 10:16:38 PM »

So what do we think Cruz gets to in pledged? 800? What will be the gap between them? it's 200 now, so will Trump get to 300-350 more than Cruz?
Now - Trump 757, Cruz 550
Then - Trump 1195, Cruz 775
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dax00
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Posts: 1,422


« Reply #2 on: April 17, 2016, 10:19:20 PM »

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Has there been a poll in WV?
No, but one would figure a Hatfield votes for a Hatfield over a McCoy.
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dax00
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Posts: 1,422


« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2016, 05:34:53 AM »

Let's say, 1 in Minnesota, 1 in Oklahoma, 1 in Louisiana, 2 in US Virgin Islands, 1 in Guam, 4 in American Samoa, 2 in North Dakota. 5 in PA, 2 in NH.

That's what, 15 delegates? 
Trump either gets 0 or 3 from the Virgin Islands.

I'd say 1 from Minnesota, 1 from Oklahoma, 1 from Louisiana, 3 from the Virgin Islands, 2 from Guam, 3 to 6 from American Samoa, 1 from North Dakota, 1 from New Hampshire, and 17 to 28 from Pennsylvania. that totals 30 to 44.
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