latest Betfair odds

[dax00]

RNC
Trump, outright - 29.4%
Cruz, outright - 7.9%
Rubio, outright - 0.2%
Trump, convention - 39.1%
Cruz, convention - 22.2%
Rubio, convention - 0.5%
John P. Yob, convention - 0.2%
Other, convention - 0.6%

DNC
Clinton - 61%
Sanders -39%

What is this nonsense

For the DNC, I factored in that the primaries are basically almost out of pro-Hillary states, and the chance that she may still be indicted.

[dax00]

On PredictIt this morning:

Trump 45
Cruz 34

If Cruz sweeps Wisconsin, I wouldn't be surprised to see these converge at 40.

If Cruz sweeps Wisconsin, which won't happen due to Trump's strength in the northern and western parts of the state, I wouldn't be able to project any reasonable way for Trump to secure nomination on the first ballot

[dax00]

55-60% seems high for Trump right now, unless they know something we don't about his chances of winning over 50-100 unpledged delegates.

Cruz's national GOP poll numbers look like they've been torpedoed for some odd reason I've not a clue about.

[dax00]

My guess is that Trump will get 1242 delegates. I could be wrong, but I might be right.

What indecisiveness. 1247 is my projection. The Betfair odds are a bit high on Trump at the moment.