MO-Remington Research (R): Hawley +4

[Dr. Arch]

Also Claire has a giant coffer, so once she starts pouring in, I could see her go up a few points, and honestly now, I think she might eek it out by a point tilt R--->tossup.

She's also not afraid to go out and meet with voters who may be actively opposed to her. She's been holding Town Halls in hostile territory for months now: https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/08/30/claire-mccaskill-senate-dems-2018-215556

She held 50 Town Halls, nearly one per week, last year: https://www.mccaskill.senate.gov/media-center/news-releases/the-town-hall-senator-mccaskill-armed-with-missourians-input-from-50-public-town-halls-is-ready-as-ever-to-fight-for-the-state-i-love

She's not given enough credit.