South African General Election, 2019 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 17, 2024, 01:56:12 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  South African General Election, 2019 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: South African General Election, 2019  (Read 18595 times)
Frodo
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,760
United States


WWW
« on: May 11, 2019, 01:52:22 PM »
At the rate at which the ANC is gradually losing support (~5% every five years), it can perhaps win one more general election (in 2024) after this, and then with barely over 50% of the vote.  
Logged
Frodo
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,760
United States


WWW
« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2019, 02:08:16 PM »
Quote from: BundouYMB on May 11, 2019, 01:57:28 PM
Quote from: Frodo on May 11, 2019, 01:52:22 PM
At the rate at which the ANC is gradually losing support (~5% every five years), it can perhaps win one more general election (in 2024) after this, and then with barely over 50% of the vote.  

That's not how elections work though. Patterns like this break all the time. I could show you plenty of examples where parties lost votes steadily for several elections in a row before suddenly reversing the trend and gaining votes. The ANC's future isn't predetermined.

It is if they don't change course. 
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.016 seconds with 10 queries.