OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7

[BuckeyeNut]

NOVA, we would love to have you hop over to the Ohio thread, which has been a bit quiet as of late. Very interested in O'Connor's results in the precincts that overlap with Assembly District 19, 21, and 24, as well as Senate District 19.

Is that this thread???

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=253653.msg5413917#msg5413917

I did tell you that after the OH-CD-12 election, I would be happy to share some of the data that I pulled....   

First thing that caught my eye was at the Top of Page 75 on that thread talking about Mike DeWine....

Man, I sipped Ice Tea on his front porch in Greene County was back in the early '90s on a Humid Spring day, and ate some lovely cookies that his wife had baked especially for that occasion where a large number of environmental activists showed up (Arranged in advance) to discuss a few major issues of concern with our local US Congressional Rep.

Maybe time to shift to the Ohio Megathread shortly.   

That is the one!

As far as I know, Mrs. DeWine still does that sort of thing. Of course, the attendance is much larger nowadays...

[BuckeyeNut]

If Danny O’Conner was smart he’d accept that he lost the special election, and devote his remaining resources to trying to win the general election. Sadly, it’s highly unlikely he’ll win the seat in November, because, if he couldn’t flip it in a august special election with low Republican turnout it’s highly unlikely he’ll flip it in a high turnout general election when more Republicans show up.

This wasn't a low turnout special. The turnout was barely lower than 2014.

Indeed it was, and that doesn't bode well for O'Connor, since turnout in Franklin was nearly maxed out while rural, largely Republican turnout remained low.