Wrong. Starts at Lean D, at least.
There is generally no "right" or "wrong" when it comes to ratings, especially at this point in time. I'm not surprised that we disagree here (like always), but let's not argue about this.
Nolan starts out as slightly favored, but this race is definitely winnable for Republicans with the right candidate (granted, a big if here). It's probably similar to the Wisconsin Senate race.I'll concede the former, but Nolan is himself, exceptional. Yes, he won the last election by a point, but he won with 9% of the vote in '12. If Mills runs again and it turns out to be yet another Republican year, he could go down, but I'd expect something more like a 4-point win ATM.
As Badger said, there's a big "if" at play.
