CNN/Des Moines Register-IA: Buttigieg 25, Warren 16, Biden 15, Sanders 15 (user search)
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  CNN/Des Moines Register-IA: Buttigieg 25, Warren 16, Biden 15, Sanders 15 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CNN/Des Moines Register-IA: Buttigieg 25, Warren 16, Biden 15, Sanders 15  (Read 4410 times)
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Posts: 4,956
« on: November 16, 2019, 08:56:38 PM »

He has basically taken away some of Warren's support. Further proof that Warren was never going to win. Her base is so fragile & 25-30% odd have decided they will definitely vote. That is like 5-6-7% at best. Warren could further fall & go to 10-12% too at the end.

Pete will be trying to take off some Biden & some more Warren supporters & of people who will poll less than 15%. At this rate, he can get 30-35% & get a huge victory. He is a clown of a candidate who is polling 1-2% among Hispanics & African Americans but he will be very strong in  Iowa.
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Shadows
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,956
« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2019, 09:02:47 PM »

Also interesting, the broader support numbers:

1st & 2nd place combined:
Buttigieg - 39
Warren - 36
Biden - 28
Sanders - 28
Klobuchar - 12
Harris - 10
Booker - 6
Gabbard - 6
Steyer - 6
Yang - 5
Bloomberg - 3
Bennet - 1
Castro - 1
Williamson - 1

And total support (1st choice+2nd choice+actively considering):
Buttigieg - 68
Warren - 66
Biden - 58
Sanders - 54
Harris - 46
Klobuchar - 39
Booker - 36
Yang - 33
Steyer - 26
Castro - 18
Gabbard - 17
Bloomberg - 14
Bennet - 11
Bullock - 8
Delaney - 7
Williamson - 7
Sestak - 3

Incorrect & bad analysis. Only 2nd choice of candidates except the Top 4 matter. You can't add 1st & 2nd like that. Sanders supporters are what makes Wareen's 2nd choice so high because they overwhelmingly support Wareen but they are are most the hardcore & most decided in every poll so that 2nd choice won't move a lot.

Klobuchar 6% Harris 3% Booker 3% Steyer 3% Gabbard 3% Yang 3%
That is like 21% & huge. This goes to where ?

I think of the 6% between Yang & Gabbard, 4-5% can go to Bernie. I think Warren will do well among Harris supporters. I dont know about Klohuchar. That is like 6%.
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