2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 11, 2024, 06:40:55 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 171346 times)
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,293
« on: October 26, 2018, 08:28:44 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 26, 2018, 07:14:48 AM
Also, this unfortunately is only an RV poll, but for people who say the 2018 Congressional Elections are Very Important, Democrats jump up by 5 points.

Just look at those college educated women, esp. Democratic and Independent college educated women!!!!
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,293
« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2018, 12:07:34 AM »
IA-04 (n=631) Change Research

J.D. Scholten @Scholten4Iowa (D) 44
Steve King (R) 45

Movement: 26 points to D (was Trump+27)

Trump won IA-04 by 27 points in 2016; King won by 23 points.

This is the one I really want to see flip...but I don't think it's this close.
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,293
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2018, 08:34:55 AM »

Collins and Hunter both need to be defeated, even if it is just for one cycle.
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,293
« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2018, 06:34:35 AM »

In 2016 these same districts were R +15.
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,293
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2018, 01:10:02 PM »
New Jersey GCB, D +20 (56-36)
Bodes well for close suburban districts.

Trump approval: 37/62

https://stockton.edu/hughes-center/polling/documents/2018-1102-statewide-poll-2-wfs.pdf
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,293
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2018, 04:31:48 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on November 02, 2018, 04:01:21 PM
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on November 02, 2018, 03:50:07 PM

By comparison, the actual congressional vote in NJ in 2016 was D+7.

...and Gottheimer still won under those circumstances, which surprises me, but I guess that district has been more D since the last round of redistricting pulled it southeast.

Scott Garrett was a tea party Republican appealing to some rural areas of the district, but much of the Bergen county geography are wealthy, upscale suburbs.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 10 queries.