NV-CNN/ORC: D: Clinton 48% Sanders 47%; R: Trump 45% Rubio 19% Cruz 17%

[psychprofessor]

This is very strange - if Clinton and Sanders are breaking even with whites, she holds huge leads with women and voters over 45, how can this race be a dead heat? CNN must think that the electorate is going to significantly change from 2008 - many more men and younger voters, and we don't have any Black and Hispanic numbers. In 2008, voters over 45 made up a whopping 68% of the electorate and Hillary is winning them by over 40 points.

The disappointing part is that from the cross-tabs Hillary should be doing well - but the secret sauce that they apply makes this a dead heat, but they don't provide a rationale for why this is a dead heat. I'm going to go out on a limb and say if Clinton and Sanders break even with whites on Saturday that she will win.

[psychprofessor]

According to this link, the new CNN poll of Nevada has Clinton ahead of Sanders with non-white voters 56-43. And she is leading with Whites 46-44. So, how is this race tied? Something doesn't add up in their cross tabs.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/17/politics/planned-parenthood-hillary-clinton-nevada/index.html