WV-Zogby: Manchin +7 against Morrisey, +13 against Jenkins, +14 against Mooney

[Heisenberg]

WV is glued to Manchin. No surprise. NEXT!

In more serious terms, given the High-grade popularity Senator Manchin has (and the unpopularity of the JJ party swap), he has the best chances of the Uber-GOP state US Senators to win reelection,
 compared to the rest up next year(and no Paula Jean can ever change that).

Surprisingly enough, Morissey appears quite strong in this poll. Time will tell if he is on the upward trend in momentum, or this is a poll botch.

Anyway, Manchin has his seat in the bag, at least until 2024. Senator Manchin is far too popular for such a loss.

If:
a. He remained pro-life and pro-gun rights, and
b. Polarization wasn't as strong

then I'd agree. But he's still a vote for Chuck Schumer, and has changed on some issues, so the seat is in play. Interesting to see how well Morrisey does compared to Jenkins. Still think Stupid Alex does not actually run, and if he does and somehow wins the primary, he would lose badly.

[Heisenberg]

I am skeptical of this poll. No way Morrissey does better than Jenkins against Manchin.

Why not?

Well, Morrisey has already won two statewide races so I can see his name rec being higher in WV-01 and 02, but he is a worse fit, for reasons explained numerous times (such as his past in NJ, history as a lobbyist, and carpetbagging into the Eastern peninsula, which is WAY different from the rest of the state). In a general election, Jenkins can appeal to a lot of ex-D Trump voters, but, they won't be able to support him in the primary, as most remain registered Democrats.

I'd say, Morrisey should be doing about 2 points worse than Jenkins, but 10 points better than "Stupid Alex" Mooney.