early look at gerrymanders in 2020 (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 17, 2024, 09:31:33 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderators: muon2, 100% pro-life no matter what)
  early look at gerrymanders in 2020 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: early look at gerrymanders in 2020  (Read 8541 times)
Heisenberg
SecureAmerica
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,112
United States


« on: July 20, 2017, 11:35:58 PM »

Easy GOP gains
Shrink NH-1 away from Carroll/Belknap/Strafford and pick up Nashua suburbs and Salem

If Hogan has a say in MD, just do anything less ridiculous than that abortion of a map they have now

Slice up GA-2

Re-draw lines around Orlando, FL

Slice up TN-5

Slice up KY-3

If Rauner wins re election, eliminate the pie slices radiating out of Chicago

Crack MO-5 between 3 districts

Eliminate the Texas fajita strips, all of the Rio Grande delta can be held in 2 districts, add suburban GOP seats

They'll gain Oregon's 6th no matter what


Most of these would be either illegal or unlikely.

NH - Correct

MD - Only need 60% in MD to override a veto, Democrats are clearly over that threshold in both chambers.

GA - GA-02 is a protected VRA district, so that would be illegal.

FL - Would violate the state constitution.

TN - Correct

KY - State constitution requires whole counties, unless impossible.

IL - Correct

MO - Possible, but risky

Tx - Fajita strips are required by VRA, so illegal.

OR - Probably

Thank you. I'm kinda new to this and i really dont understand the state by state laws of how the VRA has to be applied exactly
So, GA-02's VRA-protected status is why it had to be bumped to Black-majority in 2012? Then, maybe slice it up next decade, and turn GA-07 into an ATL VRA seat (and crack up the more anti-Trump and D-trending suburbs b/w GA-04, 05, 07, and 13? That would make four Georgia VRA seats. Or would GA-02 still need to be VRA even in that circumstance?
I think Jefferson County, KY is already too big to be kept whole in one CD, so it needs to be split into multiple districts (already has parts of KY-04 in it). And I agree, cracking MO-05 is super risky and almost certainly would backfire.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 11 queries.