2016 Congressional Primaries

[Heisenberg]

DISGUSTING!

[Heisenberg]

Any chance Ryan Greene could defeat the literal Spawn of Satan in the general election?

I honestly wouldn't mind giving up this seat for two years (as long as it's not the seat that decides House control of course) in exchange for a decent Republican picking it up in 2018, but given how Barbara Cubin, with her offensive comments against her disabled opponent still hung on in 2006, a Democratic tsunami, with all the anti-Bush sentiment and popular Democratic Gov. Dave Freudenthal on the ticket, I would say no. The state is R+22 or something.

[Heisenberg]

Meh. My vote would've been for Christensen, but I'm not particularly upset to see Cheney get it, either. Mead is the frontrunner to become the next Senator in the event of Enzi retiring in 2020, correct? While Barrasso is likely to stay for another decade or more.

Mead will be term-limited in 2018, is very popular, much younger than Enzi, and has run for the Senate before, so he should get the seat if Enzi does retire.

[Heisenberg]

Happy Oklahoma runoffs! Only one race today - The 5th district democratic runoff. Polls close at 8 EST. Results here: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2016/by_state/OK_US_House_0823.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

Obviously nothing interesting (right to lose race), but the real excitement is coming up next week (FL, AZ)! I'll still watch the results, really looking forward to next week's primaries!

[Heisenberg]

With 11% in, McAffrey is up 51-49 (41 vote difference).

[Heisenberg]

Never though I'd say this, but I'm enjoying it!

[Heisenberg]

McAffrey up 59 votes with 77% in.

[Heisenberg]

Well, that was an exciting race.

The next primary is in Guam on the 27th, but they're not worth caring about. Just some lame territory.

The next real primary is in Arizona and Florida on the 30th. Murphy vs. Grayson, Rubio vs. Beruff, DWS vs. Canova (FL-23 D), Corrine Brown vs. Lawson (FL-5 D), Bongino vs. Goss vs. Rooney (FL-19 R), Garcia vs. Taddeo (FL-26 D), McCain vs. Ward, Christine Jones vs. Olson vs. Biggs vs. Stapley (AZ-5 R) and much more!

Looking forward to next Tuesday's primaries!

[Heisenberg]

Rubio projected winner Time to be Privileged Pat in November! #Rubio2016

Rubio projected winner by NYTimes. YES!

Yes! My nightmare did not come true!

[Heisenberg]

With 79% in, Thomas is up 40.5-40.2 against Dunn (only 148 votes).

[Heisenberg]

NYT calls it for DWS.

Oh well.

Lawson officially defeats Brown

Good. Glad this HP is gone!

[Heisenberg]

NYT calls FL-26 for Garcia.

Yes! Still an uphill battle for Curbelo, but the slope got less steep, I guess.

[Heisenberg]

so Arizona results start in the next hour or so?

Twenty minutes, I believe.

[Heisenberg]

Dartland wins FL-2 D.

That concludes FL. On to AZ!

New York Times did not give him a check mark, and the margin is super close. Will there be a recount? (Doesn't really matter, it's basically a right to lose race, but still.)

[Heisenberg]

Just realized there will be two Rooney's in congress both from Florida.

Also kind of shocked that Grayson did so poorly overall, but won some conservaDem counties in the pandhandle. That area has had some odd behavior as of late.

Are the two Rooneys related?

[Heisenberg]

Just realized there will be two Rooney's in congress both from Florida.

Also kind of shocked that Grayson did so poorly overall, but won some conservaDem counties in the pandhandle. That area has had some odd behavior as of late.

Those are DINO's protesting because muh conservative values, muh liberals are bad.

More like muh black president (who I hate) endorsed Muhrphy so I'm not voting for him.

Or, if they're DINO's, then maybe they're thinking "The party I'm registered with doesn't represent me anymore, I'll vote for whoever gives Rubio an easier path to reelection."

[Heisenberg]

First four votes in AZ-01 (R): Babeu and Rogers have 2 votes each, LOL.

[Heisenberg]

You got this, McCain! #SixMoreYears

Go McCain! #NeverWard

[Heisenberg]

These are early results, but they look good for McCain, nonetheless.

It's early votes from Maricopa but ward represents a rural northern district so I don't think she has the base to make it up

Correct, her base is the small, rural Mohave County (far northwest, only about 200,000 people in total).

[Heisenberg]

AZ-01 (R): 21% in, Babeu in first with 46%, Rogers a distant second with 22.9, Kiehne in third with 17.8, Bennett in fourth with 9%. Ugh, #NeverBabeu.

[Heisenberg]

Just realized there will be two Rooney's in congress both from Florida.

Also kind of shocked that Grayson did so poorly overall, but won some conservaDem counties in the pandhandle. That area has had some odd behavior as of late.

Are the two Rooneys related?

I don't think so, actually. If they are, it's very distant.

Okay, thanks!

[Heisenberg]

Maricopa County Sheriff (R): Arpaio has won renomination.

[Heisenberg]

lol I'm very surprised Wendy Rogers is doing as well as she is. I for sure thought either Kiehne would get a clear second place.

From what I heard, she was considered one of the weaker candidates. Who did you expect would win, Babeu?

[Heisenberg]

And NYT just called it for McCain.

Yes! Yes! Yes! I can calm down. I was just looking at RRH people comment on how McCain was underperforming from 2010. He's got this one!

[Heisenberg]

AZ-01 (R): 21% in, Babeu in first with 46%, Rogers a distant second with 22.9, Kiehne in third with 17.8, Bennett in fourth with 9%. Ugh, #NeverBabeu.

Rogers is now down by only 11 points (from 23)! Hopefully Babeu loses.