Sabato: Governors 2017-2018: The Democrats' Complicated Path to Big Gains

[Virginiá]

I would be just fine with modest gains if they were all in states critical to the next round of gerrymandering. In terms of the big picture, there are some states where winning the Governors office wouldn't really do much for the party long-term. Oklahoma I think might be an example, in addition to Massachusetts.

Lucky for us, we're the incumbent in PA, and MI, OH and FL are open seats.

[Virginiá]

Ducey is pretty strong, and it doesn't seem like he'll attract a powerful opponent.  Deal is also very popular, and I just don't see Democrats winning the governorship.

i agree, also AZ and GA are trending Dem, but Reps still has the advantage in the short term. Gotta give the edge to Ducey and Deal

Deal is termed-out in 2018. As for his popularity, I'm not convinced that will actually matter for his successor. Presidential politics will always Trump any marginal effects a popular incumbent Governor can have for their party.