AZ-PPP (D): Flake getting crushed by Generic Democrat (user search)
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  AZ-PPP (D): Flake getting crushed by Generic Democrat (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-PPP (D): Flake getting crushed by Generic Democrat  (Read 6292 times)
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
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Posts: 18,922
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

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« on: August 06, 2017, 04:23:41 PM »

Yes, I was referring to the fact, that I do believe Kelly Ward will be the nxt Senator from AZ, due to the fact, a Democrat won't be elected to AZ Senate until 2022, when McCain is finish and I hope its Mark Kelly.  

I hate to nitpick here, but what you said isn't actually a fact. It's just a prediction, and you didn't state why you thought no Democrat would hold an AZ Senate seat until at least 2022 Tongue
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Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,922
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW
« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2017, 04:54:50 PM »

It is a prediction and its a bold one, AZ polling was eracted in 2016 and said Kirkpatrick was competitive with McCain and she wasn't.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/az/arizona_senate_mccain_vs_kirkpatrick-5455.html

The RCP average aligned pretty nicely with the actual result. It wasn't far off. PPP didn't have any polls close to the election of that race, so it's not fair to say they were dead wrong. For all you know, that really was the state of the race in the early summer. In fact, with the constant scandal and ups and downs of the top of the ticket, it's not surprising to see downballot choices fluctuate too.

I still don't understand why you have such strong views about AZ like this.
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