Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
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Posts: 18,916
Political Matrix E: -6.97, S: -5.91
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« on: November 13, 2016, 03:58:11 PM » |
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« edited: November 13, 2016, 04:00:49 PM by Virginia »
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Battlegrounds as in Republicans will probably thoroughly contest them, sure, but swing states now? No. Based on Bush's close calls and now this, it might not be unreasonable to label Wisconsin that, but Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Maine? Uh, no. I mean seriously? I don't understand why so many people think a win in a few normally non-competitive states in one election always means that state is now competitive or even leans towards the party that won it, especially in this freak election. Both candidates were bad fits and for numerous reasons, at least in the eyes of many voters, Clinton was the worst fit.
For all we know they are indeed toss-ups, but there is no way to know that and the most reasonable assumption is to assume that they will maintain their generation-long partisan behavior if Democrats shape up in 2020. I think most other assumptions would just be people pulling crap outta their butt.
I think Nevada might still be winnable for a Republican in 2020 if they put forward the right candidate, but not for a Trump reelection. Arizona is still at least Leans R, if not Likely, for now. I have a feeling Iowa is moving away from Democrats as well, but not entirely sure how fast.
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