I think he will lose New York by an historically large margin.
This. I don't think people appreciate just how Democratic New York is becoming. Democrats have snagged the youth vote at 70%+ levels since 2004 and even 64% in 2000. Every single age group but 65+ voted 60%+ Democratic, with the 65+ being 59%. There are very real structural reasons why Obama did better in 2012 than 2008
(in NY)Simply put, New York has become an impenetrable Democratic fortress. Just because Trump does business in and resides in New York doesn't mean he somehow does better in the state. Not with these massive Democratic margins.
