Trump returns to poll truthing (user search)
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  Trump returns to poll truthing (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trump returns to poll truthing  (Read 984 times)
Virginiá
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« on: June 28, 2016, 12:06:24 PM »

I wonder if this "just add 5  points" Trump poll math thing will catch on. Will conservative media literally fall into the same unskewing trap from 2012?

I actually burst out laughing when I saw this. So if Trump being down by 5 points means he wins, does that mean Clinton has to be up by 10 points to cleave out a bare win?

What about the configuration of the EC or the nature of 2016's presidential polling gives such a structural advantage to Trump that he can be down by 5 and still win? It's complete bs. Republicans are not the ones with an electoral college advantage, and as I understand it, many pollsters are still having issues accurately polling minorities, a constituency that Trump has almost universally alienated and energized like never before.

This deserves the hashtag #RepublicanMath for sure.
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Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,921
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW
« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2016, 12:20:13 PM »

Well the logic isn't about the EC. They are saying the liberal media are skewing the polls through their own bias by polling too many Dems and not getting to the real silent majority.  Trump also said polls underestimate him because people don't want to admit (again to the liberal elite pollsters) that they like Trump, because of reverse racism.  

It may all be ludicrous to anyone who believes in polling, but if Trump is consistently behind, the conservative media may feel the need to create a counter narrative.  

Right, I did mention the polling challenges after the EC comment.

I'm not entirely surprised that they are challenging the polls, seeing as they are losing so badly, and consistently at that, so it should be expected. It's just this baseless idea that somehow Trump is actually always ahead if he's losing by non-landslide numbers that is so amusing. Trump was always boasting about any polls that showed him ahead, which only makes this even more funny.
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