Is Hillary really in trouble? (user search)
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  Is Hillary really in trouble? (search mode)
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Question: ...
#1
Yes
 
#2
No, Sanders supporters are just being babies
 
#3
No, Trump is getting a temporary bounce
 
#4
No, she just hasn't pivoted yet
 
#5
No (other)
 
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Author Topic: Is Hillary really in trouble?  (Read 3412 times)
Virginiá
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« on: May 21, 2016, 04:01:36 PM »
« edited: May 21, 2016, 04:05:03 PM by Virginia »

We have three polls all showing Georgia within 2-3 points and Arizona within 2 points and people think Hillary is in trouble?

Welcome to Atlas. They won't face reality until Election Night.

We also have polls for the GE showing TRUMP in the lead, and we have polls with The Donald leading or very competative in Florida and Ohio, as well as polls where he's close in Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and New Jersey. And TRUMP has just started yet.

And after those +2/+5 polls for Trump were released, another showing +6 for Clinton was released. She still has the lead in RCP's average.

Seriously, I wouldn't start getting excited just yet. Clinton has been in the lead for the vast majority of GE matchup polls so far, and the fact that Trump hasn't consistently lead her for any significant amount of time is pretty bad when you look at past races. Romney was doing far better in the polls than Trump at this time and he still ended up losing by 3+ points.

It also seems funny that the majority of the polls favorable to Trump have come from FOX or Rasmussen, who has been shown to have a Republican bias before.
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