socaldem
skolodji
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,040
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« on: October 01, 2006, 01:41:39 AM » |
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CA-04
John Doolittle's been pummelled by his opponent air force Vet Charlie Brown. I loved his "corrupt or ineffective" radio spot and he's also blasted Doolittle for allowing forced abortions. Granted, the district is as conservative as they come in California, but it has some suburbs that would be open to the moderate message of Brown and some ski towns that are quite liberal.
Also Doolittle may have a little more to worry about if the Abrahamoff investigation continues to expand.
KS-02
Nancy Boyda's run a good campaign and though she lost by a lot last time, Jim Ryun's been having some ethical issues. If she can continue to slam him on that and exploit the moderate/extreme GOP divide that has fractured the Kansas Republicans, she'll have a chance. Plus with Kathleen Sebelius cruising to a strong win, she may be able to ride coattails that were lacking when she lost last time.
MN-01
I agree with the above poster. Plus Gutknecht has flubbed on the BNS railroad issue. Rochester also features a number of competitive legislative districts where Dems are primed to make gains. I can see them picking up this district as well. It now looks like, perhaps their best opportunity in MN, though Dems are still in the fight in the more GOP areas of MN-06 & MN-02 where the incumbents are weaker than the fairly lackluster, but not outrageous, Gutknecht.
TX-23
This race is most certainly going to a run-off. If Dems retake the House by a significant margin, they may have a fundraising advantage in knocking off an extra GOP incumbent. The run-off would only be a race, though, if a Dem other than Ciro Rodriguez makes it to the run-off.
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