Wainwright County
Upland textiles area with a growing amount of commuters and retirees. Mostly small towns but with a large-ish suburban area (mostly middle class to upper middle class) in the northeast of the county. Large Evangelical population. Traditionally a modestly affluent area.
I agree with those who suggest this sounds like NH, except for the "strongly evangelical" part... If the middle class/upper middle class suburbanites moving in are evangelicals, then it probably votes strongly Republican on all levels like exurban Georgia...if the newcomers are social moderates and the evangelical population is composed of textile workers, then the area is lean Republican on the federal level like New Hampshire, though still heavily Republican in state/congressional elections... Since I'm supposing its more like exurban Georgia:
63/37-Bush
Others have covered this pretty well: its like West Virginia/western PA... its important to note, however, that though West Virginia is now leaning strongly Republican, the coal counties are still voting for Democrats on all levels. So, I think this area would stil be Democratic on all levels, though with rapidly diminishing presidential numbers....
53/47- Kerry
As others have noted, this describes Long Island/Montgomery County/parts of Los Angeles' San Fernando Valley. Though historically Republican, it has recently become strongly Democratic in both Presidential and Congressional elections. The areas may tend Republican, however, in statewide, and, especially, municipal/county races...
56/44-Kerry
Okay, I don't know how anyone gets Boston or Connecticut from this...those areas are not rich agricultural regions! I'm thinking that parts of exurban Kansas might qualify. But perhaps a county near Fresno that has few Hispanics would fit this description best... Hence, strongly Republican. Moreover, it seems to me that (with the exception of New Englanders who aren't in a rich agricultural region and where there is some industrial base) suburbanites commuting from distant affluent suburbs with a rural, "small town" feel are going to tend to be highly Republican... rich suburban Democrats gravitate towards older suburbs...
65/35-Bush