IL/WI-Emerson: Clinton +6 and Clinton +7 (user search)
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  IL/WI-Emerson: Clinton +6 and Clinton +7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IL/WI-Emerson: Clinton +6 and Clinton +7  (Read 3234 times)
StatesPoll
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« on: September 22, 2016, 12:16:25 PM »

Watch Silver adjust this to:

WI: C+5
IL: C+2

Nate Silver did, WI: C+7. IL: C+7

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StatesPoll
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Posts: 441
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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2016, 01:36:33 PM »

Let it be resolved - now and forever, until the ages of ages, Emersom shall be regarded as junk regardless of who it shows up, regardless of which state it polls, and regardless of margin.

Anyway, crosstab doesn't look that crazy. Methodology looks realisitic.

Illinois: slightly pro-Hillary (Race) But still looks fine.
Wisconsin: slightly pro-TRUMP (Race) But still looks fine.

Illinois
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_4b2b9517da414c0fb1c825dfe5416794.pdf
1. Race %
Emerson: White 67.3% | Black 14.8% | Hispanic 12.6% | Asian 2.2% | Other 3.1%
2012:  White 70% | Black 14% | Hispanic 12% | Asian 2% | Other 2%
2. Party ID %
Emerson: DEM 44% | REP 27% | IND 28%
2012: Same as this Poll.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/IL/president/


Wisconsin

1. Race %
Emerson: White 88.7% | Black 4.3% | Other
2012:  White 86% | Black 7% | Other

2. Party ID
Emerson: DEM 37% | REP 32% | IND 31%
2012: Same as this Poll.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/WI/president/
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