Which states will trend the most Democratic/Republican?

[Mallow]

Utah for the Democrats. It's going from having its favorite person ever as the Republican nominee to its least favorite person ever. Even if Trump wins it by 10 points, that's still a huge shift.

For the Republicans, I don't know, but I doubt it will be any of the ones listed.

This. My suspicion for the biggest R shift for Trump is something like OK, LA, or AL, with even an outside chance of something like CO or PA.

[Mallow]

This. My suspicion for the biggest R shift for Trump is something like OK, LA, or AL, with even an outside chance of something like CO or PA.

I have a terrible feeling that Clinton will do much better than Obama in the "fringe South" (KY, TN, AR) simply by virtue of having white skin.  And that this will offset Trump's strengths in the region.  I don't want to believe that's the driving force behind the hatred of Obama.  I want to believe people are better than that.

Agreed, which is why I didn't include the ones you mentioned (or WV, MO, or IN), states that have "trended" hard right since 2000. I assume some of this trend is, unfortunately, racism related.

[Mallow]

Utah is a good choice for Dem trend--even in 2008-like election, both in Utah and nationwide, would have Utah as the strongest Dem trend (since Utah had the highest Repub trend in 2012).

It's hard to imagine West Virginia moving even further right, I would only see this is the country moves left and WV stays the same.

Don't know why Ark. is listed, yes a good fit for Trump, but Clinton may get a first lady bounce.

This. My suspicion for the biggest R shift for Trump is something like OK, LA, or AL, with even an outside chance of something like CO or PA.

I have a terrible feeling that Clinton will do much better than Obama in the "fringe South" (KY, TN, AR) simply by virtue of having white skin.  And that this will offset Trump's strengths in the region.  I don't want to believe that's the driving force behind the hatred of Obama.  I want to believe people are better than that.

Agreed, which is why I didn't include the ones you mentioned (or WV, MO, or IN), states that have "trended" hard right since 2000. I assume some of this trend is, unfortunately, racism related.

Ya not sure how that happened. I think I must have meant LA.