Takeover of the Nerds II: Revamped, Redone, and Really Great!

[LLR]

The 2016 Republican Primaries

Party insiders squirmed in their seats as they watched Gov. Sam Tander of Kentucky's announcement speech. The populist ex-Democrat had always been known for his brashness, but his blatant denunciation of party leaders was striking to many. Tander's entrance grew the field to 9, presumably finishing it up.

2016 Republican Primary Poll

RNC Chair Eric Sanchez (FL) 21%
Gov. Sam Tander (KY) 16%
Gov. Extreme Republican (TN) 12%
Sen. Cath Con (MI) 10%
Gov. Sunrise Steinberg (VA) 9%
Sen. Robert Fayette (CA) 7%
Gov. Ted Bessell (CA) 5%
Rep. Classic Conservative (MA) 4%
Rep. Tommy N. Volunteer (TN) 2%




Thanks for reading! Please comment!

[LLR]

Just wanna get this out of the way...

The 2016 Democratic Primaries

The democratic field slowly grew to a size of 13, with no frontrunner really emerging. Gov. Adam Griffin from Georgia looked strong, but any of the other candidates could knock him out by the end of the primary season.

2016 Democratic Primary Poll

Gov. Adam Griffin (GA) 14%
Sen. Sean Gothic (LA) 11%
Sen. Antonio Velero (CA) 10%
Gov. Irwin Spear (PA) 8%
Sen. Darren Baer (NC) 7%
Gov. T. S. Abyss (FL) 7%
Gov. Steve Dunn (NY) 5%
Gov. Andrew Scott (CT) 5%
Sen. Timothy Dass (SD) 5%
Gov. Emily Pebs (NC) 4%
Rep. James Pol (UT) 3%
Sen. Xing Kerui (WA) 2%
Sen. Mike Wells (NY) 2%



Thanks for reading! The setup is done - get ready for some more fun!

[LLR]

can I have a sex scandal

Constantly

[LLR]

November 2015 - A Recap


Republicans
-"Establishment loser" Sen. Con falls in the polls
-Tander draws to an even standing with Chairman Sanchez in the polls
-Conservative gets angry at moderators in debate, falls further

Iowa
1. Tander
2. Sanchez
3. Republican

New Hampshire
1. Sanchez
2. Steinberg
3. Tander


-Velero falls in polls after making controversial statements on feminism
-Pebs and Dass rise in polls
-Pol drops out after a disappointing debate

Iowa
1. Griffin
2. Gothic
3. Dass

New Hampshire
1. Spear
2. Griffin
3. Velero


National Polls

Sam Tander 19%
Eric Sanchez 18%
Extreme Republican 12%
Sunrise Steinberg 9%
Cath Con 8%
Ted Bessell 6%
Robert Fayette 5%
Thomas Volunteer 3%
Classic Conservative 2%


Adam Griffin 15%
Sean Gothic 12%
Irwin Spear 9%
Timothy Dass 9%
Antonio Velero 8%
T. S. Abyss 7%
Darren Baer 6%
Emily Pebs 6%
Andrew Scott 5%
Steve Dunn 4%
Xing Kerui 3%
Mike Wells 2%

[LLR]

Can I be in this timeline?

Throw my hat in as an Indepedent Trump like figure, only more over the top and beyond the pale.

Sorry guys, I set a basic post limit of around 1500. I can't fit everyone, y'know?

[LLR]

December 2015

As Iowa nears, some shocking turns in the race occur.

Republicans
-Steinberg viciously takes apart Tander in a debate
-Volunteer goes on a tirade, insulting the people of New Hampshire. His poll numbers in Iowa rise as a result.
-Bessell declares he will vote third party if Tander wins the nomination
-The establishment begins to line up behind Eric Sanchez, who is remaining silent in the discourse of the campaign

Eric Sanchez 20%
Sam Tander 16%
Extreme Republican 11%
Sunrise Steinberg 11%
Ted Bessell 8%
Cath Con 7%
Robert Fayette 5%
Tommy Volunteer 4%
Classic Conservative 2%



Democrats
-Sen. Baer is caught in a sex scandal with Sen. Colin Smith of Massachusetts in Baer's office. Baer dropped out, ashamed. When asked to comment he said, "I don't want to talk about it, k?"
-Virginia's Senator, Neville Again, filed in to replace him
-Gothic distanced himself from the scandal, saying "Sen. Baer's ignorance may ruin our party for years to come"


Adam Griffin 14%
Sean Gothic 14%
Timothy Dass 10%
Irwin Spear 9%
Antonio Velero 7%
T.S. Abyss 7%
Emily Pebs 6%
Neville Again 5%
Xing Kerui 4%
Andrew Scott 4%
Steve Dunn 3%
Mike Wells 2%


The disarray that is the Democratic field and Sens. Baer and Smith's sex scandal prompted the Republicans to gain in the polls.




A picture of Sens. Baer and Smith at their wedding in early January

[LLR]

I've never laughed so hard at an Atlas post in my life.

[LLR]

January 2016

The lead-up to the first votes

Republicans
-Fayette drops out, citing falling poll numbers
-Tander begins to pull even with Sanchez, but Sanchez's devastating attack ads negate that.

Eric Sanchez 21%
Sam Tander 13%
Sunrise Steinberg 12%
Extreme Republican 10%
Cath Con 9%
Ted Bessell 7%
Tommy Volunteer 5%
Classic Conservative 3%



Democrats
-Dunn drops out
-Wells has successful debate, elevating his status
-Fmr. Sens. Baer-Smith and Smith-Baer, having now resigned, endorse Again, who sinks in the polls as a results

Sean Gothic 15%
Adam Griffin 14%
Timothy Dass 11%
Antonio Velero 9%
Irwin Spear 9%
Emily Pebs 7%
T.S. Abyss 6%
Xing Kerui 5%
Mike Wells 5%
Andrew Scott 4%
Neville Again 3%



What will happen next???

[LLR]

2016 Iowa Caucuses

Republicans


Eric Sanchez 20%
Extreme Republican 16%
Sam Tander 14%
Cath Con 11%
Sunrise Steinberg 10%
Ted Bessell 10%
Tommy Volunteer 7%
Classic Conservative 5%


Drop-outs:
Classic Conservative

-Sanchez's win came as a surprise to nobody, but Republican's second place finish shocked some. Tander's concession speech was described as "bitter" and "passive-aggressive"

National Poll

Eric Sanchez 24%
Sunrise Steinberg 14%
Extreme Republican 13%
Sam Tander 12%
Cath Con 10%
Ted Bessell 9%
Tommy Volunteer 4%



Democrats


Sean Gothic 21%
Timothy Dass 18%
Adam Griffin 15%
Irwin Spear 11%
Antonio Velero 10%
T.S. Abyss 8%
Emily Pebs 6%
Mike Wells 4%
Neville Again 4%
Xing Kerui 3%
Andrew Scott 1%


(Note: adds up to 101% because rounding)

Drop-outs:
Andrew Scott
Neville Again

-Gothic's moderacy made him a great fit for Iowa
-Dass, being from a neighboring state, was a lock for second
-Griffin's campaign was surprised by their own performance - "We were worried about losing to Spear, and we beat him by 4%!"
-Wells and Kerui both waved off questions about their poor performance, promising better fortunes in New Hampshire

National Polls

Sean Gothic 17%
Adam Griffin 15%
Timothy Dass 13%
Irwin Spear 10%
Antonio Velero 8%
Emily Pebs 7%
T.S. Abyss 5%
Mike Wells 5%
Xing Kerui 4%



Thanks for reading! Comments are very welcome!

[LLR]

I repeat my question:

Are those famous people as Smith and Baer? They look a little familiar.

I have no idea. It came up on google images when I looked for "gay wedding"

[LLR]

2016 New Hampshire Primary

Republicans

Sunrise Steinberg 24%
Eric Sanchez 23%
Cath Con 16%
Sam Tander 14%
Ted Bessell 11%
Extreme Republican 9%
Tommy Volunteer 1%


What a surprise! What an upset! Sanchez's nomination wasn't so inevitable any more! Steinberg won New Hampshire! After being down by 6 in the polls...

And on and on went the pundits.

Drop-outs:
Tommy Volunteer

Maps:

Democrats


Adam Griffin 22%
Irwin Spear 15%
Timothy Dass 14%
Sean Gothic 12%
Antonio Velero 11%
Mike Wells 8%
Emily Pebs 7%
Xing Kerui 6%
T. S. Abyss 5%


Drop-outs:
T.S. Abyss
Xing Kerui

Roundup:
An extreme pileup for second enabled a big win for Griffin and led to the field being narrowed down to 7 candidates. Spear's second place finish was expected.

Map:

Thanks for reading! Comments are welcome.

[LLR]

LLR, can you post Tommy Volunteer's concession/drop-out speech from New Hampshire! Thanks!

Thomas Volunteer could not be reached for comment, as he was [CENSORED]

 angry women.

[LLR]

What's notable about the green counties that would imply I'd win pluralities there?

The two on the Wisconsin border are because of your strength in Wisconsin - as it borders your home state. The ones in Southern Iowa were Huckabee/Santorum/Trump counties which were also strong for Ron Paul, which kind of seemed like a voting bloc that you'd be strong with. The one in New Hampshire is populated but rural and not batsh*t crazy like Coös, and thus preferred you over Santander.

[LLR]

So for NV/SC I'm gonna do one post per party rather than one per state. Enjoy!

Nevada and South Carolina Primaries 2016

Republicans

South Carolina:

Eric Sanchez 28%
Extreme Republican 20%
Sam Tander 16%
Sunrise Steinberg 13%
Ted Bessell 12%
Cath Con 10%


Recap:
-Sanchez earned a comfortable win as Republican and Tander split the conservative vote.

Nevada:

Eric Sanchez 25%
Sunrise Steinberg 22%
Sam Tander 20%
Cath Con 13%
Extreme Republican 12%
Ted Bessell 8%


Drop-outs:
-Ted Bessell

Recap:
-A close race ended in Sanchez prevailing, thanks mostly to high Mormon support. All the other candidates vowed to continue on, but Sanchez appeared to have a lock on many of the southern states.

National Polls

Eric Sanchez 23%
Sunrise Steinberg 19%
Sam Tander 14%
Extreme Republican 14%
Cath Con 10%



Thanks for reading! Comments welcome! (Demoncrats coming in a second)

[LLR]

Nevada Caucus and South Carolina Primary 2016

Nevada

Antonio Velero 20%
Adam Griffin 18%
Sean Gothic 16%
Timothy Dass 15%
Irwin Spear 11%
Mike Wells 9%
Emily Pebs 8%


Drop-outs:
-Pebs

Recap:
-Regionalism leads to Velero winning

South Carolina:

Adam Griffin 31%
Sean Gothic 25%
Timothy Dass 15%
Mike Wells 12%
Antonio Velero 11%
Irwin Spear 7%


Drop-outs:
-Spear

Recap:
-Griffin and Gothic dominate, being in the south

Map:

National Polls

Adam Griffin 22%
Sean Gothic 20%
Timothy Dass 16%
Antonio Velero 14%
Mike Wells 11%



Thanks for reading! All comments welcome.

[LLR]

Third Party Nominations

Independent: Ken Poleon announced a bid, with his VP being Devon T. Centrist. He's doing decently in the polls

Libertarian: Daniel Leinad secured the nomination, and as a conciliatory gesture to second-place finisher Jesse Goldwater, gave him the vice presidential slot.

General Election Polling Average

Eric Sanchez 38%
Adam Griffin 35%
Daniel Leinad 7%
Ken Poleon 5%

[LLR]

I am shocked that Mormons are voting for a pro-gay, anti-war Republican but me and Cathcon are going to make America America again so it's all cool.

Who else would they vote for in that field?

[LLR]

At darthebearnc's request and because of my own laziness, there will be no more county maps.


SUPER TUESDAY

Republicans

Super Tuesday brought about the first victories for Con and Republican, and a healthy amount of victories for Sanchez.

Drop-outs:
-Sam Tander
-Cath Con

If anyone would like specific results for a state (this goes for the Democrats too), ask me.

National Poll

Eric Sanchez 32%
Extreme Republican 24%
Sunrise Steinberg 22%


Democrats

Super Tuesday confirmed that the Democratic race was a two-way battle between Gothic and Griffin, though Velero's Western strength continued with a win in Colorado. Griffin took Vermont, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Virginia, Alabama, and his home states, while Gothic won the upper south and Texas.

Drop-outs:
-Timothy Dass
-Mike Wells

National Poll

Adam Griffin 34%
Sean Gothic 29%
Antonio Velero 19%



Thanks for reading! Comments welcome

[LLR]

Did I win angry Massachusetts (South Boston) men?

Angry Massachusetts Catholics, yes

[LLR]

Also, I'm wondering what, in general, the candidates' coalitions are (not just ideology--but, if you can, ethnicities and income/education levels).

Surprised Griffin hasn't dominated, as he's practically built most state Democratic parties below the Mason-Dixon line by this point in time, no? Super delegates'll probably be in the bag for him, if anything.

ChairmanSanchez: urban establishments, Cubans, Hispanics - Rubio-type
SunriseAroundTheWorld: suburban moderates and Jews - Kasich-type
ExtremeRepublican: religious right/Cruz-type white southern voters

Adam Griffin: African-Americans, Asian-Americans, liberals and non-southern moderates
SouthernGothic: white conservadems
Antonio V: Westerners and liberals, Hispanics

Hope this answers your question

[LLR]

Is Antonio or Griff running more to the left?

Tony

Also, I'm wondering what, in general, the candidates' coalitions are (not just ideology--but, if you can, ethnicities and income/education levels).

Surprised Griffin hasn't dominated, as he's practically built most state Democratic parties below the Mason-Dixon line by this point in time, no? Super delegates'll probably be in the bag for him, if anything.

ChairmanSanchez: urban establishments, Cubans, Hispanics - Rubio-type
SunriseAroundTheWorld: suburban moderates and Jews - Kasich-type
ExtremeRepublican: religious right/Cruz-type white southern voters

Adam Griffin: African-Americans, Asian-Americans, liberals and non-southern moderates
SouthernGothic: white conservadems
Antonio V: Westerners and liberals, Hispanics

Hope this answers your question

I'm rather surprised I don't have the Black vote.

Griffin's from Georgia, is a liberal, and has records of years fighting for the black community. You're some random governor who won Oklahoma and is supported by conservadems.

[LLR]

Also, I'm wondering what, in general, the candidates' coalitions are (not just ideology--but, if you can, ethnicities and income/education levels).

Surprised Griffin hasn't dominated, as he's practically built most state Democratic parties below the Mason-Dixon line by this point in time, no? Super delegates'll probably be in the bag for him, if anything.

ChairmanSanchez: urban establishments, Cubans, Hispanics - Rubio-type
SunriseAroundTheWorld: suburban moderates and Jews - Kasich-type
ExtremeRepublican: religious right/Cruz-type white southern voters

Adam Griffin: African-Americans, Asian-Americans, liberals and non-southern moderates
SouthernGothic: white conservadems
Antonio V: Westerners and liberals, Hispanics

Strange. Knowing Sanchez, I would have assumed a Cruz/Trump-type coalition.

Yeah I'm really surprised. The Rubio Republicans would flock to Sunrise while I ran on this more libertarianish version of Trumpism.

"Rubio-like" was the wrong term. You have the mainstream secular "establishment" republicans, and because of your national strength you often do better than Sunrise in his best areas. You also did win over a substantive amount of Santander's Trump-esque supporters

[LLR]

Early March Primaries

Republicans

No drop-outs

Sanchez solidifies his frontrunner status, limiting Republican to Southern states and Idaho, as Steinberg wins only Hawai'i


Democrats

All three candidates won where they had to win, meaning Griffin and Gothic remain in a two-way battle.


Thanks for reading! Something something please comment (emoticon)

[LLR]

Election Night: March 15

Blitzer: Alright folks, it's the bottom of the hour, and we have some significant returns in western Florida.

Republicans (7% reporting)
Eric Sanchez 42%
Extreme Republican 38%
Sunrise Steinberg 16%


Blitzer: Keep in mind, this is Sanchez's worst region of Florida.

Democrats (10% reporting)
Sean Gothic 44%
Adam Griffin 43%
Antonio Velero 12%

Cooper: It's important for Gothic to be winning here.


8 PM

Blitzer: And a key race alert, we can call Florida for Eric Sanchez, and   on the Democratic side, we can call North Carolina for Adam Griffin. Florida Democrats and North Carolina Republicans are too close to call, Ohio on both sides is too early.


8:45 PM

Republicans

Florida (55% reporting)
Eric Sanchez 47% (√)
Extreme Republican 29%
Sunrise Steinberg 22%

Ohio (15% reporting)
Eric Sanchez 39%
Sunrise Steinberg 33%
Extreme Republican 26%

North Carolina (9% reporting)
Eric Sanchez 42% (√)
Extreme Republican 30%



Blitzer: And we can now call North Carolina for Eric Sanchez.

Democrats

Florida (50% reporting)
Adam Griffin 42%
Sean Gothic 40%
Antonio Velero 15%

Ohio (16% reporting)
Adam Griffin 45% (√)
Sean Gothic 27%
Antonio Velero 25%

North Carolina (8% reporting)
Adam Griffin 46% (√)
Sean Gothic 38%
Antonio Velero 13%


We can call Ohio for Adam Griffin


Final results because I'm too lazy to keep doing this sh**t:

Republicans

No drop-outs, because Steinberg and Republican are stubborn.

Democrats

Drop-outs:
-Velero

It is officially a two-way battle, and Griffin is winning 60-70% of Velero supporters according to some polls. It will take a major change for either Griffin or Sanchez to lose their races.

[LLR]

March 22-April 19

Republicans

-Sanchez clinches when Republican and Steinberg drop out after the Wisconsin primary.

Nominee: Eric Sanchez


Democrats

The two-way fight between Gothic and Griffin continues, as they both head out west:

A sweep for Griffin leaves gothic undeterred, but has voters quickly switching to Griffin's camp. Then, in New York, Griffin receives 65% of the vote, leading Gothic to drop out.

Nominee: Adam Griffin


Next up: the General Election Campaign...