Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic KY / OR primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)  (Read 25837 times)
Sorenroy
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« on: May 17, 2016, 03:16:20 PM »

What sort of numbers should Sanders get to start to close the gap with Clinton enough to eventually overtake her with pledged delegates?  I tried looking up some numbers but the only ones I could find were pre-North East primary, so obviously very out of date.

I've been keeping a running spreadsheet with the required percentage of delegates needed to win over here. As of now, to stay on target, Sanders needs to get roughly 66% of the delegates. It's even higher then that if you consider the fact that he needs a buffer to make up for close races or losses in places like New Jersey and California.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2016, 03:31:18 PM »

http://demrace.com/?share=PUkKSHJ3

^^ targets I have for Sanders. He needs to get 58% in KY and deny Hillary viability (15%) in Oregon.

Well Sanders can just tie every remaining primary and get 80% in California to win as well.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2016, 07:46:49 AM »

http://demrace.com/?share=PUkKSHJ3

^^ targets I have for Sanders. He needs to get 58% in KY and deny Hillary viability (15%) in Oregon.

Well Sanders can just tie every remaining primary and get 80% in California to win as well.

Now it's down all the way to 79%!
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