South Korean (early) presidential election (9 May 2017) (user search)
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  South Korean (early) presidential election (9 May 2017) (search mode)
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Author Topic: South Korean (early) presidential election (9 May 2017)  (Read 10831 times)
Sorenroy
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,705
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

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« on: May 09, 2017, 09:42:10 AM »


So... uh... what's going on with the Southwest (North & South Jeolla Provence and Gwangju)? Hong Joon-pyo is in a pretty comfortable second place outside of that area, but is in fourth in that area (fifth in Geangju). For someone unfamiliar with South Korean politics, what is going on down there?
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: May 09, 2017, 02:03:16 PM »

Final polling averages along with exit polls (from Japanese election blog)



Hong was projected to get around 17% of the vote, exit polls said 23.3% and most likely he will end up with around 24.3%

What's with the massive jump for Ahn Cheol-soo? Where did it come from? No one else seemed to lose support (in fact Moon Jae-in had an increase at the same time).
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,705
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: May 09, 2017, 02:37:08 PM »
« Edited: May 09, 2017, 02:39:47 PM by Sorenroy »

Final polling averages along with exit polls (from Japanese election blog)



Hong was projected to get around 17% of the vote, exit polls said 23.3% and most likely he will end up with around 24.3%

What's with the massive jump for Ahn Cheol-soo? Where did it come from? No one else seemed to lose support (in fact Moon Jae-in had an increase at the same time).

He campaigned as the anti-Moon candidate which got him a lot of support from conservatives who where gonna vote for him just to stop moon. Then he tanked in the debates and Hong was able to get a lot of that conservative vote to come home.

But where did his support come from in the first place? Was there just a big block of undecideds? It looks like 25% just went to him without anyone else loosing any. Was there another candidate in the race that dropped out?
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