IN-SEN: Brains or Braun?

[Young Conservative]

Here is something that Joe Donnelly can use against Braun if he the Republican nominee.

https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2018/04/06/mike-braun-indiana-primary-2018-senate-race-ethics-concerns-timber-industry/490093002/

Nobody will care. Almost all 2018 races are a referendum on Trump period

Nobody will care because the legislation benefited his entire industry, not just his business.

[Young Conservative]

The Donelly vote could drive some GOP voters to the polls. This definitely doesn't help him. While the hurt will be minimal, minimal matters in a tossup race.

[Young Conservative]

Currently in counties that are reporting more than initial numbers, Braun is exceeding 2012 but in very few is he exceeding 2016. Most he is underperforming Young. That seems expected, since no one thinks Braun will win by ten.

[Young Conservative]

Goodbye Donnelly, nice knowing you.

Listen, I am no Bagel. This is not over. But we all have to admit, the rural support Donelly had in 2012 is gone. He'll either win thanks to suburbs and urban areas or he will lose.

[Young Conservative]

Braun's lead is down to 5.9%. By the end, probably around 5%. Not a horrible margin for Donnelly, it's too bad he couldn't make up that last 5%.

If Donnelly wouldn't have promised to vote with Trump on immigration, it's likely he would have gotten higher turnout in East Chicago (known as "The Latino Gary" in Lake County) and Indianapolis, as well as among liberal youth and women.

Yeah, I remember seeing a news report of him saying he would consider voting with Trump on birthright citizenship. The second I saw that I figured he was done for.

He would've done worse other places, so it probably didn't make much of a difference.