When will the Utah legislature return to Democratic control?

[Young Conservative]

Utah Democrats are still conservatives, so regardless a true liberal will never win in Utah...also, Write In: None of the above

[Young Conservative]

Does Atlas really think that every state will eventually be a solid blue (in normal talk) state?

EDIT: Except for Colorado and Iowa, which will soon be 80% GOP.  Maybe Michigan will follow suit eventually as well.

Not at all.  In terms of which states are trending to which party over the 20-30 year long run, this is my assessment.  Gray = trend unclear

LOL MISSISSIPPI and LOUISIANA? They aren't trending Democrat at all! They just had higher black turnout in 2012. If anything their getting even more republican as white grow conservative

[Young Conservative]

Does Atlas really think that every state will eventually be a solid blue (in normal talk) state?

EDIT: Except for Colorado and Iowa, which will soon be 80% GOP.  Maybe Michigan will follow suit eventually as well.

Not at all.  In terms of which states are trending to which party over the 20-30 year long run, this is my assessment.  Gray = trend unclear

LOL MISSISSIPPI and LOUISIANA? They aren't trending Democrat at all! They just had higher black turnout in 2012. If anything their getting even more republican as white grow conservative

It's more about the black population growing faster than the white population.  And the fact that in LA/MS/GA there are basically no white voters left for the GOP to flip in presidential races

Why do you have AL trending Republican though?  Isn't it susceptible to the same pressures as LA/MS/GA with increasing minority population?

The black population in MS and GA is clearly growing and had been growing for several decades in LA, where I am anticipating a post-Katrina rebound.  AL is only 26% black vs. 32% in LA, 37% in MS and 31% in GA, and AL has been at 25-26% black since 1970 so the black population isn't really growing.  There's also a more significant slice of cultural Appalachia in AL that still has room to trend R.  I also don't see AL attracting socially moderate whites the way Atlanta is and NOLA probably will with the film industry.

I can affirm from experience that white democrats  is louisiana are decreasing and black population isn't grown that much. Mississippi will literally never vote democrat