Michigan GOP Results thread II

[cp]

Ok, so what does this mean?

Romney's victory here certainly frustrates McCain and ends Huckabee's momentum, but does this translate into further victories down the line?

[cp]

Romney's looking very good for the nomination now. He'll probably win Nevada and get a strong third in South Carolina, and then he just needs to outspend McCain in Florida again.

Feb 5 will derail him, methinks

See I don't think so. The Republicans aren't falling in line behind anyone yet and there's still three more primaries to go. If you get three or four primary winners going into Feb. 5 there's going to be no 'flocking' to one candidate or another. I see the vote fracturing with Romney getting a sizable chunk, simply on account of his financial resources delivering votes the way others' can't.

[cp]

Giuliani's plan was to put no effort into the first 5 primaries, so you can't really tell anything about his 'support' from the anemic numbers you get here or anywhere else but Florida.

That said, I think an unintended down side of his plan was that 5 primaries where he doesn't place above fifth will probably make it harder to motivate his supporters in Florida. And if he can't get them there . . .

[cp]

9 points is a large lead. Besides Clinton just now it's the largest lead any candidate has had in the voting this primary season.