Greater London Assembly and Mayor elections - 5 May 2016

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Latest YouGov poll:

If there were an election tomorrow for Mayor of London, how would you vote?

Sadiq Khan: 31
Zac Goldsmith: 20
Peter Whittle (UKIP): 5
Caroline Podgeon (LD): 4
Sian Berry (Greens): 4
Don't know: 25
Wouldn't vote: 8

First preferences:

Sadiq Khan: 48
Zac Goldsmith: 32

Second preferences:

Sadiq Khan: 60
Zac Goldsmith: 40


Pretty much all good news for Labour. At this point in 2012/2008/2004 the eventual winner was ahead, and not by this much.

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New Survation Poll

Virtually identical to the YouGov from last week.

First preferences:

Sadiq Khan: 49
Zac Goldsmith: 34
Peter Whittle (UKIP): 5
Caroline Podgeon (LD): 3
Sian Berry (Greens): 3


Second preferences:

Sadiq Khan: 60
Zac Goldsmith: 40

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Today's the big day.Last poll out showed:

First Preference:

Sadiq Khan: 35
Zac Goldsmith: 26
Peter Whittle (UKIP): 4
Caroline Podgeon (LD): 4
Sian Berry (Greens): 4

Second Preference:

Sadiq Khan: 57 (-3)
Zac Goldsmith: 43 (+3)

If you can be bothered to read the report and sift through its dreadfully rendered tables, there's some great breakdowns of the numbers. In a nutshell, Khan is winning with everyone under 50 and in central London. Goldsmith has the senior vote but is only fighting Khan to a draw in outer London.

*crossing fingers this holds out and we get a good night for once*

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There seems to be some almighty mess up with the electoral register in Barnet.

so labour seem to blaming the fact that Barnet have outsourced everything that's not nailed down, if its very close could be grounds for a challenge to the results, and if its a close win for Labour then you-know-what will be brought into play

sounds like a lot of headaches

For those of us that don't know what, could you elaborate?

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Grrr. Frustrated about the lack of numbers in the bar chart.

Seems like about 75% of the votes are in and Khan is well in the lead.

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Source?

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How do these results compare with the 2015 General Election results in London/Greater London?

Based on the results so far:

Labour: +0.5%
Cons: +0.1%
Green: +0.9%
LD: -3.0%
UKIP: -4.5%

In a nutshell: Stasis.

If you really wanted to, you could read into this:

- Continued collapse of the LibDems
- Fizzling of UKIP
- A tiny indication that Labour has done better at shoring up its left flank than the Tories have at shoring up their right.