Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor (user search)
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  Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor (search mode)
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Author Topic: Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor  (Read 10959 times)
kansasdemocrat
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« on: November 12, 2015, 02:48:14 PM »

If Edwards wins half of Angelle and Dardenne voters, he gets around 57%. I think he'll end up winning an average of 58% of those voters, corresponding to a total general vote of about 59%. This estimate doesn't even take into account the possibility of Vitter voters switching over to Edwards and the higher rates of expected turnout.

BBBUUUUT MUH KENTUCKY!!!!
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kansasdemocrat
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Posts: 114


« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2015, 10:09:27 PM »

Edwards 53%
Vitter 47%


Much closer than polled but a solid win for Edwards.
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