PPP: 15 more polls of competitive House districts

[heatcharger]

Link.

WI-01:
Ryan 46%
Bryce 39%

NE-02:
Ashford 49%
Bacon 40%

MN-03:
Phillips 46%
Paulsen 42%

NY-22:
Brindisi 47%
Tenney 41%

IL-06:
Democratic candidate 51%
Roskam 41%

CA-48:
Democratic candidate 51%
Rohrabacher 41%

MI-06:
Upton 42%
Democratic candidate 41%

NJ-07:
Democratic candidate 42%
Lance 41%

NY-19:
Democratic candidate 46%
Faso 40%

NJ-11:
Democratic candidate 46%
Frelinghuysen 44%

TX-07:
Democratic candidate 49%
Culberson 39%

TX-32:
Democratic candidate 48%
Sessions 43%

FL-26:
Democratic candidate 53%
Curbelo 39%

CA-25:
Democratic candidate 50%
Knight 38%

NJ-02 (OPEN):
Democratic candidate 44%
Republican candidate 39%

Starting to look like a landslide folks. Nice!

[heatcharger]

Any race where a republican incumbent is polling within 5 of generic D with > 10% undecided I'd consider a tossup right now, frankly. Still good numbers for Republicans but that generic ballot question is a bit weak for Dems. Hard to see them winning the house with a lead of only 5 - though a final result of D +7-8 off of a D+5 baseline would hardly be inconsistent with 2017 results.

Democrats are leading the generic ballot by 10 points. Try again.

[heatcharger]

Oh, I seem to have missed this:

WI-01:
Ryan 46%
Bryce 39%

[heatcharger]

IIRC, Bryce is a deadbeat dad who didn’t pay the child support he owed until he got in the race.  I have a hard time believing such a weak and damaged candidate is going to make this remotely close.

This is a bad take. We need more "deadbeats", I'd rather have working-class guys like Bryce struggling to meet ends on my side then yet another "entrepreneur" hack who's gonna promise more "market-based solutions".

I'm really hoping you just don't know what the term deadbeat refers to. Otherwise this would be a totally outrageous thing to say.