Which state do Democrats have a better chance of carrying: NC or GA? (user search)
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  Which state do Democrats have a better chance of carrying: NC or GA? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
North Carolina
 
#2
Georgia
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 95

Author Topic: Which state do Democrats have a better chance of carrying: NC or GA?  (Read 1011 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,520
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« on: February 06, 2017, 01:08:10 PM »

Before 2016, the answer to this question would've been obvious. However, I'm starting to question whether there are enough Democratic votes in North Carolina to carry the state. One could argue that GOP voter suppression worked like a charm, but even without it, I doubt it would've been enough to carry the state for Hillary. Furthermore, exit polls show that migrants into the state aren't as Democratic as thought to be, which leads me to believe a lot of retirees are flooding the state.

On the other hand, Georgia was one of the handful of states to swing left this election, and based on exit polls, the youngs in the state are decisively more Democratic than North Carolina's. This happened while black turnout fell in the state as well, and Democrats didn't put nearly as much effort into the state as they did in NC. Also, a lot of the growth in Metro Atlanta mirrors what I've seen in Northern Virginia, so I'm starting to think GA, instead of NC, will be the next VA.
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