heatcharger
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,585
Political Matrix E: -1.04, S: -0.24
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« on: November 06, 2016, 02:28:08 PM » |
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Let's see how accurate we are in our own districts. Even if you live in a noncompetitive district, it'll be fun to look at after the election.
I'll start. VA-10 is perhaps the most competitive district in the country, and for good reason. Barbara Comstock won pretty handily two years ago but now seems to be running against the tailwinds of the district. Her challenger Luann Bennett got off to a slow start but has since basically eliminated Comstock's incumbency advantage. Comstock only recently put up ads, and even from a nonpartisan angle, those ads aren't particularly good.
Comstock has a narrow yard sign lead, but Bennett has run far better ads and has a stronger ground game, thus having all the momentum. I'm starting to get the feeling Comstock gets caught in the Trump avalanche, but it'll be a nail biter. I'll guess:
Bennett (D) 49.5% Comstock (R, inc.) 49.0%
D+1
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