Should Trump go after Pennsylvania or Michigan? (user search)
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  Should Trump go after Pennsylvania or Michigan? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which should Trump campaign in and attempt to pick up?
#1
Pennsylvania
 
#2
Michigan
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 54

Author Topic: Should Trump go after Pennsylvania or Michigan?  (Read 1004 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,525
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« on: August 22, 2016, 02:29:42 PM »


I think this would have been the Kasich (and maybe Rubio) vs. Clinton map this year:



Kasich 279
Clinton 259

It should be their target map in 2020, give or take CO.

CO will be even more gone for the GOP than it is now. ME-02 doesn't flip with a Generic R.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,525
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2016, 03:05:35 PM »

The GOP was polling very well (or at least competitive) in CO before they nominated Trump. I'm not buying that CO is gone for Republicans.

More like it was never polled, except for this Quinnipiac poll, that showed Rubio, Carson, Cruz, and Trump all beating Clinton by double digits. Yeah, complete and total junk.

CO Republicans have had the chair pulled out from underneath them on many occasions, and it all started with Obama's win in 2008. The 2014 Senate race was a perfect storm for them; bad year for Democrats, extremely low turnout, Udall was a terrible campaigner, and Gardner was probably the best candidate out there. All that and Gardner still only won by 1.9%.

Republicans can win without both states in the future if they nominate the right candidate.

That means they'd have to nominate Kasich or... Sandoval? The "right" candidate would never make it out of a Republican primary plain and simple.
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