New CBS/YouGov polls out later today (user search)
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  New CBS/YouGov polls out later today (search mode)
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Author Topic: New CBS/YouGov polls out later today  (Read 1154 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,525
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« on: August 07, 2016, 07:24:07 AM »

Does CBS/YouGov do Spanish calls also? If so then I'd expect Clinton +9 in VA, Trump +1 in AZ, and Clinton +4 in NV.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,525
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2016, 07:49:35 AM »

Predictions

AZ: Clinton +7
VA: Clinton +12
NV: Clinton +13

You're setting yourself up for a letdown. If it's an online pollster they'll probably underpoll Spanish speakers.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,525
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2016, 08:07:17 AM »

Do Spanish-speakers not have Internet in the US ?

Tongue

I guess online pollsters like YouGov have ways now to weight for enough Spanish-speakers in their panels ...

Also, YouGov's state polling was quite good in 2008 and 2012.

I'm skeptical because back in June they released a Colorado poll with only Clinton +1, which looks hilarious in retrospect.
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