North Carolina-Civatas/SurveyUSA Trump +4 (user search)
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  North Carolina-Civatas/SurveyUSA Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: North Carolina-Civatas/SurveyUSA Trump +4  (Read 3068 times)
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,586
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« on: August 03, 2016, 02:42:36 PM »

Trump +10 in the two-way... lol.

Last three Civitas polls:

6/21-6/23: Clinton +2
5/21-5/23: Trump +4
4/25-4/25: Clinton +9

Junk.
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heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,586
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2016, 02:57:43 PM »

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/760922001338933248

Civitas/SurveyUSA has Trump+4 in North Carolina, but black voters are woefully underrepresented (18%, shld be >=22)

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/760922404923244544

Poll is also too old, too male,. This is a sample off the voter file, which in NC has race/age/gender, so there's no excuse

Plus blacks support Trump 32%

Everyone go look at the NC voter file...

Black vote is at 22%, Civitas thinks it's 18%.
Female vote is 53%, Civitas thinks it's 50%.
Can't find any age statistics but 60% of the voting population being >50 seems too high.

I'm not gonna pull a StatesPoll but this poll is off in a lot of regards.

There needs to be a complete and total shutdown of Civitas polls until they figure out what is going on.
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